Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 2.712431e-05 0.000032 0.000038 0.000045 0.000052 0.000060 0.000070
2025-05-11 2.242199e-05 0.000029 0.000038 0.000048 0.000059 0.000073 0.000089
2025-05-18 1.835239e-05 0.000026 0.000036 0.000048 0.000064 0.000082 0.000104
2025-05-25 1.382421e-05 0.000022 0.000032 0.000046 0.000063 0.000084 0.000111
2025-06-01 1.081652e-05 0.000019 0.000029 0.000044 0.000063 0.000088 0.000119
2025-06-08 8.911209e-06 0.000017 0.000028 0.000043 0.000065 0.000093 0.000130
2025-06-15 7.318170e-06 0.000015 0.000026 0.000043 0.000067 0.000097 0.000139
2025-06-22 5.786341e-06 0.000013 0.000024 0.000041 0.000066 0.000100 0.000146
2025-06-29 4.410277e-06 0.000011 0.000022 0.000039 0.000065 0.000100 0.000150
2025-07-06 3.255363e-06 0.000009 0.000019 0.000037 0.000063 0.000100 0.000153
2025-07-13 2.576621e-06 0.000008 0.000018 0.000036 0.000063 0.000103 0.000160
2025-07-20 2.117527e-06 0.000007 0.000017 0.000035 0.000065 0.000107 0.000168
2025-07-27 1.669395e-06 0.000006 0.000017 0.000036 0.000067 0.000114 0.000183
2025-08-03 1.490343e-06 0.000006 0.000017 0.000038 0.000073 0.000126 0.000204
2025-08-10 1.185603e-06 0.000006 0.000017 0.000039 0.000077 0.000134 0.000220
2025-08-17 7.405314e-07 0.000005 0.000015 0.000036 0.000075 0.000134 0.000225
2025-08-24 4.754050e-07 0.000004 0.000013 0.000035 0.000074 0.000136 0.000233
2025-08-31 3.290762e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000035 0.000076 0.000141 0.000246
2025-09-07 2.164176e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000034 0.000077 0.000146 0.000257
2025-09-14 1.214990e-07 0.000002 0.000011 0.000033 0.000076 0.000148 0.000265
2025-09-21 5.566152e-08 0.000002 0.000010 0.000031 0.000075 0.000148 0.000269
2025-09-28 1.917579e-08 0.000001 0.000008 0.000029 0.000072 0.000147 0.000272
2025-10-05 6.967497e-09 0.000001 0.000008 0.000028 0.000072 0.000150 0.000281